If I Were Sarah Palin

Look, you know I don't mean that in any literal sense. I'm the wrong everything--gender, age, whatever. Not to mention that my home address is in Arizona, land of the Mojave green rattlesnake, not Alaska, Land of the Midnight Sun. What I meant to say is, I think I know when Sarah Palin will declare her candidacy for the Presidency of the United States. The motivation behind this article stems from recent media comments that Mrs. Palin is (currently) neither declaring for nor ruling out the possibility of a run for the White House in 2012. Seems logical to me; it's not rocket science.

Might just be political science, though.

Or...just plain common sense which (as frequently noted) isn't really all that common.

Despite those who wonder why she wouldn't simply throw her baseball cap into the ring now and be done with it, especially since she's shown willingness in the past to declare early and get on with campaigning, there's a compelling reason to delay: The hypercritically important House and Senate races of 2010. Any poly sci student or even simply any student of human nature (and Sarah is both) understands that a President alone is not enough to roll back the tide of Big Government currently threatening to overwhelm us all. No, to do that--to have even a chance of doing that--both houses of Congress have to cooperate for the good of these United States of America. Thus, every House race and every Senate race is a separate but vital linchpin needed to keep the wheels on the Rollback Wagon.

Every. Single. One.

How else can conservatives in our Legislative Branch generate enough clout to counter the Cardinals, those entrenched House Appropriations Committee members charged with spending taxpayer money...just as an example?

Sarah also knows--must know; it would be surprising if she did not--that her formal entry into the Presidential race would (if done in 2010) draw attention away from qualified conservative candidates striving to oust all those spendaholic incumbents in November. So, like any perceptive military commander, she'll hold back on announcing her own candidacy until she's done all she can to assist those deserving of election.

After the election, she'll give it time. Give them time, the newly elected conservative freshmen on Capitol Hill. Give them time to get settled in, to learn the ropes, to make an initial impact. She'll watch the ebb and flow of national events, watch the calendar, and wait for the right moment. When that moment comes--sometime in 2011 most likely, at a point when there's a sudden lull, an inhalation of political breath nationwide....she'll strike. The mainstream media will trigger their own CMG (Campaign Mode Gun), and the circus will be in town with fire-eaters and elephants and jugglers, with tigers and lions and bears. And of course clowns; no Presidential campaign is complete without a complement of clowns.

Do you think it's possible that all those Representatives and Senators our lady from Alaska helped in 2010 might just see her in a favorable light in 2012, not to mention after her inauguration in 2013? Huh? Doya?

Okay, so what if I'm wrong about all this? No big; been there, done that. Shucks, as recently as October of 2008, it was my fervent belief that our back-door view in Colorado would remain ever the same, that our house in Parachute would be where I'd build one more new business as an owner-operator of a drilling boom service truck. Six months after that, my Colorado prospects had been Obamified, and the view had changed considerably. Not to mention that the house in Parachute went to foreclosure along the way.

Let's see if this prognostication can do a little better--and please, do feel free to add your own predictions (should they differ markedly from mine).